Plenary Lecture 3

Carrie Manore (Los Alamos National Lab)

Title:

Using Mathematics to Understand the Nonlinear Impacts of Climate Change on Infectious Diseases

Abstract:

While we know human-natural systems are directly impacted by climate change, it is difficult to capture the nonlinear dynamics and feedbacks that are determining change in risk over time and space. I will present a large-scale model for quantifying the impacts of climate change on mosquito-borne pathogens over time, CIMMID (Climate Integrated Modular Model for Infectious Diseases). CIMMID couples the DOE's global Earth Systems Model with mosquito population dynamics and human risk using hybrid computational approaches, leveraging data-driven ML and mechanistic differential equations.